Narre Warren Weather: Forecast, Climate & Seasonal Guide

Narre Warren’s weather patterns are more predictable than Melbourne’s famous four-seasons-in-one-day chaos, thanks to its inland position. Here’s what to expect from Narre Warren weather throughout the year.

Average summer high: 25°C (Victoria Government) · Average winter low: 6°C (Weather Spark) · Annual rainfall: about 660 mm · Hottest month: January · Coldest month: July · Most cloudy month: June

8 key facts, one pattern: Narre Warren’s climate mirrors Melbourne’s temperate oceanic pattern, but its inland position makes it slightly cooler in winter and more variable in cloud cover.

What are the hottest months in Narre Warren?

Narre Warren, like the rest of the Melbourne region, experiences warm summers. According to the Victoria Government’s climate guide, summer highs average 25°C, making January the peak month for heat. February and December also regularly reach the mid‑20s.

The warm season in Melbourne lasts from December to March, with February being the hottest month in the city centre. But Narre Warren’s position further inland sometimes pushes January’s average higher.

Average summer temperatures

• Summer high: ~25°C (Victoria Government)
• Summer low: ~14°C (Victoria Government)
• Hottest month: January (Narre Warren) vs February (Melbourne CBD)

Historical temperature records

Melbourne’s all‑time high is 46.4°C, but Narre Warren rarely exceeds 40°C. Extreme heat days are more common in February.

Bottom line: Narre Warren’s hottest months are January and February, with temperatures matching Melbourne’s summer averages. For heat‑sensitive residents, the advice is to plan outdoor work for the morning.

Will it rain in Narre Warren South today?

As of the latest AccuWeather update, the chance of rain today is around 0% for the next few hours. The sky is mostly cloudy, but precipitation is not expected until the evening, when a light shower is possible.

Current rain chances

• 0% chance of rain this hour (AccuWeather)
• Evening: 50% chance of a shower (AccuWeather)

Hourly precipitation probability

AccuWeather’s hourly breakdown shows a dry morning, with rain chances rising after 6 PM. The total expected rainfall today is under 1 mm.

Bottom line: Today’s rain odds are low in Narre Warren South. If you’re heading out, the morning is driest, but keep a jacket handy for the evening.

How cloudy is it in Narre Warren South?

Current conditions show mostly cloudy skies with about 90% cloud cover. Winter months are generally cloudier than summer in the Melbourne region.

Current cloud cover percentage
AccuWeather reports overcast conditions with 90% cloud cover. Visibility remains good.

Average cloudiness by season

• Summer: clearer skies, especially in February (71% clear) (Weather Spark)
• Winter: partly cloudy to overcast (Weather Spark)
• Spring: variable, often sunny (Weather Spark)

Narre Warren South, being inland, can get more persistent cloud than coastal areas. The cloudiest month is June.

The implication: if you depend on solar energy, summer is far more reliable than winter.

Bottom line: For residents, this means planning for cloudier conditions in winter and clearer skies in summer, which affects gardening and solar energy use.

What side of Melbourne is Narre Warren?

Narre Warren is located in the south‑eastern suburbs of Greater Melbourne, about 45 km from the CBD. It sits inland, east of the Dandenong Creek corridor, and west of the Bunyip State Park.

Location within Greater Melbourne
The suburb falls under the City of Casey local government area. It is bordered by Berwick to the east, Cranbourne to the south, and Hampton Park to the north.

Proximity to the coast and hills

• Distance to Port Phillip Bay: ~20 km (as the crow flies)
• Distance to the Dandenong Ranges: ~15 km
• Elevation: 80 m above sea level

The coastal distance means Narre Warren gets less direct sea‑breeze cooling than bayside suburbs, making summer nights slightly warmer.

Bottom line: Narre Warren’s south‑eastern location and inland position give it a weather profile that differs from both the CBD and the coast — warmer in summer, cooler in winter, and often cloudier.

What is the hourly weather forecast for Narre Warren?

AccuWeather provides detailed hourly forecasts for Narre Warren, with real‑time updates on temperature, wind, and humidity. Here’s the outlook for the next 12 hours.

Next 12-hour outlook

• 12:00 PM: 12°C, mostly cloudy, NW wind 9 km/h (AccuWeather)
• 6:00 PM: 11°C, possible shower, 50% rain chance (AccuWeather)
• 12:00 AM: 9°C, clearing skies (AccuWeather)

Wind, humidity, and temperature trends

• Wind: Light northwesterly, shifting north later (AccuWeather)
• Humidity: Remains high (96%), dropping in the afternoon (AccuWeather)
• Temperature: Steady around 12°C, falling to 9°C overnight (AccuWeather)

The hourly forecast is most reliable up to 48 hours out, according to forecasters. Longer‑range hourly predictions are less accurate.

The pattern: for daily commuters, checking the morning update gives the best guide for the next few hours.

Bottom line: For locals planning outdoor activities, the hourly forecast provides reliable guidance for the next 48 hours, but wind gusts remain unpredictable.

Confirmed facts

• Hottest months are January, February, December (Victoria Government)
• Current temperature and cloud cover measured by BOM and AccuWeather (BOM)

What’s unclear

• Narre Warren’s exact location within south‑east Melbourne is not sourced from a named reference
• Long‑range (30‑day) forecasts have lower reliability (Weather Spark)
• Exact snowfall in Narre Warren is rare and not predictable far ahead

“Current conditions at Narre Warren: Partly cloudy with a high chance of showers later.”

– Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) forecast

“Hourly data shows 54°F and mostly cloudy for the current hour.”

– AccuWeather hourly data

For a suburb that sits between Melbourne’s unpredictable city weather and the more stable inland climate, Narre Warren offers its own blend. Whether you’re a commuter, a gardener, or a parent planning the weekend, knowing the local patterns — warmer summers, cooler winter nights, and cloudier Junes — helps you plan ahead. The takeaway for locals: check the hourly BOM forecast before heading out, and always keep a jumper in the car.

Frequently asked questions